One of the good places to look for interesting companies is in non-attractive industries - because that means limited competition.
The company I will go through is Miquel y Costas & Miquel SA a Spanish company dedicated in manufacturing and sales of fine and specialty lightweight papers in Spain and internationally.
The company was found in 1752 and is based in Barcelona, Spain.
The short history below is from a book called “100 Families That Changed the World” i will give you the link.
The paper manufacturing company Miquel y Costas & Miquel (MCM) has its origins in 18th-century Catalonia. It began its activity back in 1725, when the Miquel i Costas family started manufacturing handmade paper in the town of Capellades, Barcelona. At the time, this Catalan town was one of the main focal points for paper production, with over 50 highly versatile paper mills. After more than 150 years of history the family decided to give legal status to its manufacturing activity and founded the company Miquel y Costas in 1879. One of the first indicators of technological progress in the Catalan papermaking industry came about with the Picardo machine, which incorporated intermediate technology to bridge the gap between handmade paper manufacturing and continuous production. This new device, created in Italy, made it possible to produce individual sheets of paper mechanically. The Picardo was imported in 1877 by four paper manufacturing companies located in Capellades: Jover y Serra, Hijos de Romaní y Tarrés, Wenceslao Guarro and Antonio Serra y Sobrino, all of which increased their productivity notably. Miquel y Costas, however, continued its handmade paper production and specialized in manufacturing smoking paper, which was sold under the El Pino brand name. The brand’s specialization in smoking paper was nearly absolute, although they also manufactured writing paper. Like its competitors, it maintained a strong focus on exports from the outset. In 1879 the company created the first link in its foreign distribution network: a warehouse in Havana established by Pau Miquel i Costas, brother to the company founders, which it used to distribute paper to South American countries. In 1910 other headquarters were established in Chile, Mexico and Argentina. Miquel y Costas based its production system on solid technical experience, the result of having specialized in paper manufacturing for over two centuries. The company operated on the basis of mill leases and did not own any property until well into the 20th century. The company managed the mills by means of the traditional system. This involved granting control of the mill’s production to a mill manager, called a balaire, who received the raw materials and the money to pay workers’ salaries. Very often the mill manager had a family connection with the company. This system gave Miquel y Costas great flexibility, and by the end of the 19th century the company controlled about a dozen mills, placing it in a leading position in the papermaking market. This type of organization did not change until 1914. At that time the company, already called Miquel y Costas & Miquel (MCM), acquired its first factory: the former Papelera Barcelonesa mill in Santa Coloma de Gramenet, which was equipped with a continuous production machine and was specialized in manufacturing smoking paper. This acquisition marked the end of manual paper manufacturing and gave the company a considerable boost: in 1929 it became the second largest paper manufacturing company in terms of capital, behind La Papelera Española. Miquel y Costas also had agencies in Cuba, Chile, Mexico, Argentina, the Philippines and the United States, as well as a series of commission agents working throughout South America. The company also began a vertical integration process, marked by the acquisition in 1913 of a workshop dedicated to manufacturing spools. It also diversified its activity and started selling other products such as wine, oil, cocoa, coffee, tobacco and salt. Up until 1920 the paper manufacturing company exported nearly its entire production. From that point forward it began establishing a certain presence in the Spanish market with the introduction of its new smoking paper brand, Smoking. During the Spanish Civil War (1936–1939) the company was collectivized and lost its export markets. It started its recovery and the consolidation of new markets after 1940, despite the difficulties in sourcing raw materials. On the other hand, social changes were reflected in the creation and development of new product lines – such as printing paper, Bible paper or base paper for industrial use. The company thus aimed to diversify the range of products on offer and maximize its lightweight paper manufacturing knowledge. Moreover, between 1940 and 1965 the company increased its share capital on several occasions. In 1966, in order to maintain the rate of the business’s expansion, the company opened up to external capital, 10% of which came from the Banco Exterior de España. Shortly thereafter, in 1975, Miquel y Costas & Miquel (MCM) merged with its direct competitor, Payá Miralles Corporation, based in Alcoi. Following this agreement, and given the need for modernization, the paper mill took a big leap in 1978 and started trading on the stock market through the open outcry system. In 1996 the company launched its initial public offering, which marked its entrance into the new Spanish continuous market. Over the years the company acquired other papermaking industry companies and established a subsidiary in Argentina by purchasing the Papeleras Reunidas de Buenos Aires branch in 1985, which became Miquel y Costas Argentina, S.A. (corporation). In the early 1990s the Miquel y Costas group participated in the creation of MB Papeles Especiales by purchasing 50% of its share capital. This purchase was completed in 2002, when the papermaking group acquired all of the company’s capital. Through this operation, the group strengthened its position as a manufacturer of fine and special papers; in 1996 the company controlled 5% of the world’s smoking paper production and was the fourth manufacturer of this type of paper worldwide. In 2003 a technological-industrial consultancy company was created, Miquel y Costas Tecnologías, S.A. The Miquel y Costas Group currently comprises 13 subsidiary companies and one partner company, connected to the papermaking industry and ranging from marketing to services. The parent company is Miquel y Costas & Miquel (MCM). The group is chaired by Jorge Mercader Miró. The company’s main business is still manufacturing fine and specialty lightweight paper, specifically cigarette paper, smoking paper packets, printing paper, specialty papers and textile pastes.
source: https://fibac.es/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/100-families-EN.pdf ; pages 127-130
This is the link of the book:
source: https://fibac.es/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/100-families-EN.pdf
As of 31.12.2023 the shareholders with significant interest (direct + indirect) is as follows:
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/ING-IAGC-2023-2024-05-07-a-vigente-en-pw.pdf
The company is definitely an international operation:
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ING-2023-INFORME-ANUAL-2024-06-25-vigente-en-pw.pdf
Almost 90% of sales are from export.
The company operates in three main lines of business:
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ING-2023-INFORME-ANUAL-2024-06-25-vigente-en-pw.pdf
The tobacco industry is steadily around the 60% mark. The company is producing paper for traditional cigarettes and heating type cigarettes.
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ING-2023-INFORME-ANUAL-2024-06-25-vigente-en-pw.pdf
Industrial product group accounts for close to 30% of revenue:
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ING-2023-INFORME-ANUAL-2024-06-25-vigente-en-pw.pdf
I would like to see the industrial part of the business grow giving some more diversification from the tobacco clients. There is another way of smoking / vaping which does not require paper and filter.
The third revenue stream is paper for the graphics industry - around 8% of revenue:
source: https://miquelycostas.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/ING-2023-INFORME-ANUAL-2024-06-25-vigente-en-pw.pdf
Let’s see some long term data on sales and margins:
source: TIKR.com
How am I interpreting the chart above?
Consistent revenue growth of 3.5% CAGR. The growth is low but consistent. We can see that 2022 was a record year in terms of sales (but lower than average in terms of margins, we will look at this later). There are only three times when sales declined relative to the previous year. In 2009 (great financial crises, the company was still profitable though), in 2013 and in 2023.
Operating margins in the 18%-20% range, net margins in the 12%-15% range and ROE in the 12%-14% range. The company was profitable during GFC (great financial crisis), Covid 19 pandemic you name it. The company is printing through the years.
But data about ROE is nothing without data on leverage, let’s have a peep:
source: https://www.gurufocus.com/stock/XMAD:MCM/summary
ROE is close to net margin, because the leverage ratio covers for the below 1 asset efficiency ratio. But the leverage ratio is total assets divided by total equity. Let’s see the net debt position:
source: https://www.gurufocus.com/stock/XMAD:MCM/summary
So the company is slightly growing revenues (3.5% CAGR), always profitable and with net debt close to zero. So far so good. What is the cash flow doing? P&L is to look at performance, balance sheet is to look at stability, cash flow is to look at survival!!!
source: TIKR.com
I see some high quality earnings in the house with a honorable exception of 2022 (the record breaking sales year :) ). We want how the business model and the management are tackling the working capital.
source: TIKR.com
When I see payables outstanding outrunning receivables outstanding for a prolonged period of time I can name it with only one word: “beautiful” - “belle” - I should practice my French.
But the inventory and the cash conversion cycle?
source: TIKR.com
The inventory is key in managing the cash flow here. That is why helping with payables is such a good add-on. The company is producing efficiently - long runs for high margins and storing the production in inventory. Financing that long inventory with payables over receivables is very important detail for executing such a strategy. 60% of the business is tobacco and it is not very business cycle sensitive which is also a good nuance on the matter.
I will write a couple of lines concerning valuation and we are close to an end on this write up.
Valuation:
source: TIKR.com
Relative to book value the company looks cheap. It is 1.3x book value. The whole weight on the company is the tobacco exposure and the question what is happening with tobacco?
As I go through the history of the plant I get to the conclusion that it is changing only shape and is quite persistent:
In terms of EV/Operating income the valuation is even cheaper:
Less than 8x EV/EBIT.
source: https://www.gurufocus.com/stock/XMAD:MCM/report
And last but not least there is something comforting in a balance sheet with exclusively tangible assets :)
Intrinsic value:
If we use a model with 3% growth, 10% cost of equity and 14% ROE we get:
IV = BV + BV*(ROE - CoE)/(CoE - g)
IV = 9.29 + 9.29*(14% - 10%) / (10% -3%)
IV = 14.59 euro per share
Current price 12.75 euro per share
Margin of safety 14%
Comparison of Book value per share and stock market price per share:
source: TIKR.com
source: TIKR.com
As a conclusion I can see the least that this is one interesting company and looks like an opportunity.
I own shares.
Good luck !!!
PS: This write up is a personal opinion and not an investment advice. Do your own due diligence.